Tag Archives: weather

11/24/2015 — Peru South America struck by TWO large M7.7 earthquakes

Updated 630pm CST November 24, 2015:

Two large M7.7 / M7.6 earthquakes struck back to back in Peru South America at a very deep level.  Originally these events were recorded as M6.9, M7.1 in strength, then upgraded by the USGS.

Obviously, two M7.7’s is a large amount of movement to occur in the region.  No doubt people felt this event across the countries nearby.

yellowstone idaho cern-SPACEWAR-LCH sandhook 44

Global seismic unrest has been progressing across the Pacific plate, and adjacent plates spanning West from the Pacific towards Europe, as well as Eastward towards the Americas.

After a deep M6.0 struck the West Pacific a few hours ago (Nov. 24) , now we see another deep earthquake has struck the EAST Pacific — measuring M7.5 in size.

European agencies showing TWO events.. M7.1 + M7.0 … the USGS is showing two M7.7 earthquakes (started out as a M6.9 then upgraded to M7.5 then elevated to 2 different M7.7 events).


A large Pacific plate earthquake warning was issued yesterday in light of the multiple deep earthquakes which struck across the whole plate over a few hours time.

Here is the warning which was issued, telling people to watch out for a coming large earthquake in the  next few days.  Peru / Chile border region was warned a full 24 hours prior to this large earthquake striking.

https://www.facebook.com/DutchsinseOfficial/photos/a.363126717073092.106418.296574443728320/1031843400201417/?type=3&theater

Here is the text of that warning, unedited – quote:

Yesterday at 10:36am ·

Past 24 hours of international earthquake activity shows 3 different deep earthquake locations.

past 24 hours deep earthquake nov 23 2015

Seen in this graphic raised high off the planet — the three locations are Chile, Fiji, and Japan. Obviously the three locations span the whole Pacific plate, from East Pacific Chile, to Far NW Pacific in Japan.

Keep watch for a large Pacific plate earthquake over the next few days, as the deep earthquakes displace the area below the plate… the shallow areas above will be in flux.

The shallower earthquake(s) will be at least 1-2 magnitudes larger than the deep movement.

Basically the whole plate is upwelling pressure from below, meaning the whole plate should show larger compensation movement in the near term. The currently “prone” + silent areas are the areas to watch for the large earthquake to strike.

This means the three areas listed, as well as the adjacent areas , additionally the silent areas should all show movement soon. The whole plate should move at a shallow level after this deep movement.

West coast USA is not immune.”


See the earthquake forecast issued on November 17, 2015 — calling for new large Pacific plate movement to strike the region:


Full information on this M7.7 from the EMSC + USGS:

Magnitude 7.7 mww
Location/uncertainty 10.070°S 70.981°W± 10.0 km
Depth/uncertainty 606.6 km± 7.0
Origin Time
Number of Stations
Number of Phases 90
Minimum Distance 320.82 km (2.88°)
Travel Time Residual 1.13 sec
Azimuthal Gap 61°
FE Region Peru-Brazil border region (112)

 

Magnitude 7.6 mww
Location/uncertainty 10.548°S 70.904°W± 9.1 km
Depth/uncertainty 600.6 km± 4.1
Origin Time
Number of Stations
Number of Phases 311
Minimum Distance 369.24 km (3.32°)
Travel Time Residual 0.93 sec
Azimuthal Gap 16°
FE Region Peru-Brazil border region (112)

Magnitude 7.5 mww
Location/uncertainty 10.585°S 70.966°W± 8.8 km
Depth/uncertainty 602.3 km± 7.4
Origin Time
Number of Stations
Number of Phases 123
Minimum Distance 369.02 km (3.31°)
Travel Time Residual 1.06 sec
Azimuthal Gap 44°
FE Region Peru-Brazil border region (112)

M 7.1 – CENTRAL PERU – 2015-11-24 22:50:54 UTC

http://www.emsc-csem.org/Earthquake/earthquake.php?id=472353

 

Magnitude M 7.1
Region CENTRAL PERU
Date time 2015-11-24 22:50:54.6 UTC
Location 10.11 S ; 71.08 W
Depth 605 km
Distances 684 km E of Lima, Peru / pop: 7,737,002 / local time: 17:50:54.6 2015-11-24
272 km W of Cobija, Bolivia / pop: 26,585 / local time: 18:50:54.6 2015-11-24
214 km NW of Iberia, Peru / pop: 4,386 / local time: 17:50:54.6 2015-11-24

Source parameters provided by:
 GeoForschungsZentrum (GEOFON) — Potsdam, Germany (GFZ)


M 7.0 – PERU-BRAZIL BORDER REGION – 2015-11-24 22:45:37 UTC

http://www.emsc-csem.org/Earthquake/earthquake.php?id=472350

 

Magnitude Mw 7.0
Region PERU-BRAZIL BORDER REGION
Date time 2015-11-24 22:45:37.6 UTC
Location 10.59 S ; 70.94 W
Depth 593 km
Distances 684 km E of Lima, Peru / pop: 7,737,002 / local time: 17:45:37.6 2015-11-24
242 km W of Cobija, Bolivia / pop: 26,585 / local time: 18:45:37.6 2015-11-24
170 km NW of Iberia, Peru / pop: 4,386 / local time: 17:45:37.6 2015-11-24

Source parameters reviewed by a seismologist

More information at: USGS/NEIC Denver, USA
 GeoForschungsZentrum (GEOFON) Potsdam, Germany

10/31/2015 — Earthquake Forecast Areas Struck vs. Areas Missed — Each location hit , Swarms now a new factor to consider

I feel a real calling to get back into things… it’s been a long month and a half of work getting the whole house rehab done :)

Lucky now that I’m 95% (or more) complete with the project, I can begin to put a greater focus into my online work, and geophysics research.

Moving on to issues that matter to the entire population …..

——–

This  past week SEVERAL of the areas named in the forecast for large earthquakes to strike were indeed hit by large earthquakes.

After more than 3 weeks of relative silence, with no earthquakes reaching above even M6.0  — new large earthquakes struck.  The events started to hit the day AFTER the forecast was issued, two large earthquakes struck measuring in the M7.2 to M7.5 range in the West Pacific + Asia.yellowstone idaho cern-SPACEWAR-LCH ISIS 68

October 31, 2015 — Past 7 days of M4.0+ earthquakes internationally, and M2.5+ events in the US / Territories shows ALL the areas forecast to be hit by noteworthy activity were indeed hit, some were hit by swarms as opposed to single large events — the swarms being rather large, not just a few earthquakes, but hundreds in each location where you see clusters on this graphic

________

See the Earthquake Forecast video from October 20th, here:


Areas named to be hit vs. the areas actually hit:

 

Central America — was expecting a larger than M6.0 to strike near Panama into Colombia , instead a flurry of M5.0’s struck across Central America from El Salvador into Colombia.

Was expecting a M5.0 to strike NW California from the Gorda Escarpment reaching inland towards San Francisco, instead a swarm of hundreds of earthquakes struck NW California inland near San Francisco.

Was expecting a M6.0 to strike Northeast Japan, instead a M5.4 struck Northeast Japan.

Was expecting a M5.0 to M6.0 to strike Greece, instead a swarm of M4.0 to M4.7 struck Greece.

Was expecting a M6.5 to M7.0 to strike Solomon Sea , and just as expected a M7.2 struck the Eastern Solomon Sea / Vanuatu

Was expecting a M6.5 to strike the Mideast near West India / Hindu Kush region.. and just as expected a large earthquake struck, a full magnitude ABOVE the expected movement — a M7.5 struck the Mideast near Afghanistan Kush Region

Was expecting a M4.5 to M5.0 to strike Vancouver Island, and just as expected, after weeks of relative silence , a M4.8 struck Vancouver Island.

Was expecting a renewed flurry of M3.0 to M4.0 events to strike the dormant volcanoes along the West Coast / Nevada / Eastern California / Oregon / Washington State / Idaho — and just as expected a flurry of M3.0 to M4.0 struck ALL of those areas directly at dormant volcanoes (too many to mention in this post)….. including Mono Lake Caldera CA/ NV, Mount Saint Helens WA, Davis Volcanic Complex OR, Blowout Mountain / Bitner Butte NV, Black Rock Desert NV, Soda Lakes NV, Clear Lake Volcano CA, and Salton Sea Volcanic Buttes CA.

Was expecting renewed activity to strike Texas and Oklahoma at the fracking operations, and just as expected a new swarm of events struck Oklahoma and Texas.

Was expecting renewed craton edge movement, and UNEXPECTEDLY we now have reports of a large fissure opening in the ground East of Yellowstone (in the Bighorn Mountains).

Was expecting the pressure to transfer Eastward along the edge of the craton ( to the East coast of the USA ), and cause a few M2.5 to M3.0 events in Southeast Quebec and New England….. just as expected we saw multiple events strike in the M2.5 to M3.1 range in Southeast Quebec, and New York / Pennsylvania

Was expecting M3.0 to M4.0 activity to strike Europe in South France / North Italy, and just as expected a swarm of M3.0 to M4.0 events struck North Spain / Southwest France / North Italy.

Was expecting to see a swarm of events strike EAST India near Myanmar / China border region in the M4.0 to M5.0 range, and just as expected we saw that a swarm of M4.0 to M5.0 earthquakes struck at the East India / Myanmar border.

Overall, like I said at the start of this post, several of the areas were hit spot on, and a few areas did not move as large as expected (yet).

I’ll have a new update out this weekend covering the next week of projected activity.


ALL of the areas were hit, some by swarms instead of large single release events. I will start adding in swarm possibility to my forecasts.

10/26/2015 — Past 7 days of earthquake activity shows MAJOR UNREST taking place

The past 7 days of international earthquake activity shows MAJOR unrest taking place after weeks of relative silence.

The graphic below shows all events M4.0 > greater (internationally), and M3.0 > greater (United States). Clearly the whole of the West Pacific, Asia, and even the United States was displaced along plate boundaries.

past 7 days of earthquakes oct 26 2015

According to the earthquake forecast issued on October 20, 2015, we are still watching Central America for a larger event to strike.

The Pacific Northwest was already hit by a M4.8 earlier this week, and two swarms near volcanoes (Mount Diablo / San Francisco CA) and Mount Davis (Oregon).   Additionally, several M3.0 events struck at the Gorda Escarpment in North California as well.

See the earthquake forecast video here, several of the areas which were called for movement have already been hit:

 


Keep watch still in North California… just in case… no way things will immediately die down around the Pacific after seeing two M7.0+ events in the past few days, and a new round of deep earthquakes striking this morning — this means we’re not out of the woods yet.

East Pacific MUST move in relation to the other M7.0+ events, and the deep events which have now struck in succession of one another.

This much deep movement means the whole Pacific Plate will adjust, right now the pressure transferred WEST from the West Pacific (like Normal) towards Europe. The cluster spot near Pakistan / India / Afghanistan gave way today.. the pressure will also transfer across the Pacific plate to the United States, Central America, and South America.

We should see things spill across over the next 1-2 days tops. This brings us to the end of the earthquake forecast period, but NOT to the end of the pressure event taking place.

I’ll have to do another forecast come Wednesday and update accordingly based upon the deep movement happening now.

This much deep movement means the Pacific Rim countries need to be on heightened alert.. no joke, no exaggeration here… be on watch for larger movement based upon the deep movement.

Yesterdays deep M5.2 gave way to todays M7.5 in another region adjacent to the Pacific.. pressure transferring…

Todays new deep M5.2 just a bit away from the original deep M5.2 will most likely give way to another larger event in another adjacent area. Like clockwork, it usually strikes within a day or two as the pressure transfers UPWARDS from the deep movement below.

Deep movement causing shallower movement in other areas has been proved via a series of TESTS done by geologists in New Zealand last year.. deep earthquakes cause shallow earthquakes in adjacent areas, sometimes THOUSANDS of miles away. Not a matter of opinion, this is a matter of fact. See the facts for yourself here: