10/31/2015 — Earthquake Forecast Areas Struck vs. Areas Missed — Each location hit , Swarms now a new factor to consider

I feel a real calling to get back into things… it’s been a long month and a half of work getting the whole house rehab done 🙂

Lucky now that I’m 95% (or more) complete with the project, I can begin to put a greater focus into my online work, and geophysics research.

Moving on to issues that matter to the entire population …..

This  past week SEVERAL of the areas named in the forecast for large earthquakes to strike were indeed hit by large earthquakes.

After more than 3 weeks of relative silence, with no earthquakes reaching above even M6.0  — new large earthquakes struck.  The events started to hit the day AFTER the forecast was issued, two large earthquakes struck measuring in the M7.2 to M7.5 range in the West Pacific + Asia.

past 7 days of earthquakes oct 31 2015
October 31, 2015 — Past 7 days of M4.0+ earthquakes internationally, and M2.5+ events in the US / Territories shows ALL the areas forecast to be hit by noteworthy activity were indeed hit, some were hit by swarms as opposed to single large events — the swarms being rather large, not just a few earthquakes, but hundreds in each location where you see clusters on this graphic

See the Earthquake Forecast video from October 20th, here:

Areas named to be hit vs. the areas actually hit:


Central America — was expecting a larger than M6.0 to strike near Panama into Colombia , instead a flurry of M5.0’s struck across Central America from El Salvador into Colombia.

Was expecting a M5.0 to strike NW California from the Gorda Escarpment reaching inland towards San Francisco, instead a swarm of hundreds of earthquakes struck NW California inland near San Francisco.

Was expecting a M6.0 to strike Northeast Japan, instead a M5.4 struck Northeast Japan.

Was expecting a M5.0 to M6.0 to strike Greece, instead a swarm of M4.0 to M4.7 struck Greece.

Was expecting a M6.5 to M7.0 to strike Solomon Sea , and just as expected a M7.2 struck the Eastern Solomon Sea / Vanuatu

Was expecting a M6.5 to strike the Mideast near West India / Hindu Kush region.. and just as expected a large earthquake struck, a full magnitude ABOVE the expected movement — a M7.5 struck the Mideast near Afghanistan Kush Region

Was expecting a M4.5 to M5.0 to strike Vancouver Island, and just as expected, after weeks of relative silence , a M4.8 struck Vancouver Island.

Was expecting a renewed flurry of M3.0 to M4.0 events to strike the dormant volcanoes along the West Coast / Nevada / Eastern California / Oregon / Washington State / Idaho — and just as expected a flurry of M3.0 to M4.0 struck ALL of those areas directly at dormant volcanoes (too many to mention in this post)….. including Mono Lake Caldera CA/ NV, Mount Saint Helens WA, Davis Volcanic Complex OR, Blowout Mountain / Bitner Butte NV, Black Rock Desert NV, Soda Lakes NV, Clear Lake Volcano CA, and Salton Sea Volcanic Buttes CA.

Was expecting renewed activity to strike Texas and Oklahoma at the fracking operations, and just as expected a new swarm of events struck Oklahoma and Texas.

Was expecting renewed craton edge movement, and UNEXPECTEDLY we now have reports of a large fissure opening in the ground East of Yellowstone (in the Bighorn Mountains).

Was expecting the pressure to transfer Eastward along the edge of the craton ( to the East coast of the USA ), and cause a few M2.5 to M3.0 events in Southeast Quebec and New England….. just as expected we saw multiple events strike in the M2.5 to M3.1 range in Southeast Quebec, and New York / Pennsylvania

Was expecting M3.0 to M4.0 activity to strike Europe in South France / North Italy, and just as expected a swarm of M3.0 to M4.0 events struck North Spain / Southwest France / North Italy.

Was expecting to see a swarm of events strike EAST India near Myanmar / China border region in the M4.0 to M5.0 range, and just as expected we saw that a swarm of M4.0 to M5.0 earthquakes struck at the East India / Myanmar border.

Overall, like I said at the start of this post, several of the areas were hit spot on, and a few areas did not move as large as expected (yet).

I’ll have a new update out this weekend covering the next week of projected activity.

ALL of the areas were hit, some by swarms instead of large single release events. I will start adding in swarm possibility to my forecasts.

10/26/2015 — Past 7 days of earthquake activity shows MAJOR UNREST taking place

The past 7 days of international earthquake activity shows MAJOR unrest taking place after weeks of relative silence.

The graphic below shows all events M4.0 > greater (internationally), and M3.0 > greater (United States). Clearly the whole of the West Pacific, Asia, and even the United States was displaced along plate boundaries.

past 7 days of earthquakes oct 26 2015

According to the earthquake forecast issued on October 20, 2015, we are still watching Central America for a larger event to strike.

The Pacific Northwest was already hit by a M4.8 earlier this week, and two swarms near volcanoes (Mount Diablo / San Francisco CA) and Mount Davis (Oregon).   Additionally, several M3.0 events struck at the Gorda Escarpment in North California as well.

See the earthquake forecast video here, several of the areas which were called for movement have already been hit:


Keep watch still in North California… just in case… no way things will immediately die down around the Pacific after seeing two M7.0+ events in the past few days, and a new round of deep earthquakes striking this morning — this means we’re not out of the woods yet.

East Pacific MUST move in relation to the other M7.0+ events, and the deep events which have now struck in succession of one another.

This much deep movement means the whole Pacific Plate will adjust, right now the pressure transferred WEST from the West Pacific (like Normal) towards Europe. The cluster spot near Pakistan / India / Afghanistan gave way today.. the pressure will also transfer across the Pacific plate to the United States, Central America, and South America.

We should see things spill across over the next 1-2 days tops. This brings us to the end of the earthquake forecast period, but NOT to the end of the pressure event taking place.

I’ll have to do another forecast come Wednesday and update accordingly based upon the deep movement happening now.

This much deep movement means the Pacific Rim countries need to be on heightened alert.. no joke, no exaggeration here… be on watch for larger movement based upon the deep movement.

Yesterdays deep M5.2 gave way to todays M7.5 in another region adjacent to the Pacific.. pressure transferring…

Todays new deep M5.2 just a bit away from the original deep M5.2 will most likely give way to another larger event in another adjacent area. Like clockwork, it usually strikes within a day or two as the pressure transfers UPWARDS from the deep movement below.

Deep movement causing shallower movement in other areas has been proved via a series of TESTS done by geologists in New Zealand last year.. deep earthquakes cause shallow earthquakes in adjacent areas, sometimes THOUSANDS of miles away. Not a matter of opinion, this is a matter of fact. See the facts for yourself here:

10/26/2015 — Large M7.5 earthquake strikes Afghanistan — Major Global Unrest Underway

After weeks with no large earthquake activity, this current week has proved to be a real jolt back into reality — first a M7.2 earthquake struck the West Pacific, now a M7.5 earthquake (M7.7 revised) strikes the mideast in Afghanistan.

m7.5 earthquake oct 26 2015

Just as expected, yesterday (October 25) a very deep earthquake occurred below the Pacific plate, which led me to issue a warning for a coming large earthquake measuring at least TWO magnitudes higher than the deep event, which was a deep M5.2.

We were watching for a M7.2 or greater to strike West / Northwest of the deep earthquake.  Now a M7.5 struck West / Northwest within 1 day of the deep earthquake event.

See my post on the deep event here:


This new large earthquake location in Afghanistan, near the India border, was discussed in the most recent earthquake forecast, see the earthquake forecast video here:


Information on this event from the USGS:

Magnitude 7.5 mww
Location/uncertainty 36.441°N 70.717°E± 6.4 km
Depth/uncertainty 212.5 km± 1.8
Origin Time
Number of Stations
Number of Phases 132
Minimum Distance 77.03 km (0.69°)
Travel Time Residual 1.23 sec
Azimuthal Gap 21°
FE Region Hindu Kush region, Afghanistan (718)